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The US Market Declines After Trump’s Summit and Its Impact on the Economy

The American economy is considered one of the most important aspects that investors and market watchers around the world focus on. In this context, Yahoo Finance provides comprehensive coverage of the latest developments in the stock markets, highlighting key events and economic trends. In this article, we review the key moments, gains, and full interviews from the “Yahoo Finance Invest” event, where stocks declined after a period of positive recovery, and investors began to assess the impact of the choices of the elected President “Donald Trump” on economic policies. We will also discuss the impact of consumer price index data, changes in Treasury yields, and how major companies like “Boeing” and “Tesla” are dealing with these shifts. Join us to explore these vital topics and how they may affect your investments.

Stock Market Decline After Election Win Surge

In recent days, the U.S. stock market experienced a noticeable decline after the Dow Jones index led the way down following two weeks of large gains. Investors had a lot of optimism following Donald Trump’s victory in the presidential election, leading to a market surge, but that did not last long. The Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped by about 0.8%, equivalent to approximately 350 points. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index recorded a decline of more than 0.2%, and the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite fell about 0.1%.

This negative outlook is a result of the uncertainty surrounding the economic policies that elected President Trump may adopt. His choices for members of his cabinet are considered a key factor in shaping those policies. For example, Senator Marco Rubio was chosen as Secretary of State, which signals the upcoming administration’s direction regarding China and the implementation of hefty tariffs. This has raised concerns among investors and led to a drop in some Chinese stocks.

Decline in Technology Stocks and Cryptocurrencies

After a short period of large gains, shares of technology companies and cryptocurrencies experienced notable declines. For example, Tesla’s shares fell by more than 5% after rising about 40% in the previous days. Tesla’s connection to Trump’s win made many investors see it as a significant opportunity, but the market began to decline after a period of profit-taking.

Shares of Coinbase, a cryptocurrency trading platform, also suffered a decline of more than 2% after experiencing large gains of about 74% in previous sessions. These declines in cryptocurrency stocks indicate that investors began to take profits after a period of sharp increases, reflecting market volatility in a state of uncertainty.

Inflation Rate and Its Impact on Monetary Policy

Before the Federal Reserve’s meeting in December, there were ongoing questions regarding inflation rates and their impact on the central bank’s decision to lower interest rates. In this context, former Minneapolis Federal Reserve President, Neel Kashkari, indicated that an unexpected increase in inflation rates could negatively affect decisions regarding rate cuts. These statements added additional pressure on markets that were looking for a potential rate cut in the near future.

Prior to the release of the consumer price index report for October, investors expressed hope that the report would show signs of declining inflation, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s goals. However, forecasts based on current data suggest ongoing challenges in efforts to control inflation, which may lead the bank to maintain high rates for longer than expected.

Strike Impacts on Boeing

Events significantly impacted Boeing, as the company’s shares dropped by up to 3% due to fulfilling only a few aircraft orders in October. After the company announced the delivery of only 14 planes compared to 34 planes during the same month last year, it became clear that the seven-week strike by Boeing’s largest labor union had significant negative effects on production.

Testing

Boeing is currently under increased pressure due to the psychological impact of the strike, which has inflicted massive financial losses and halted its restructuring efforts. After the strike ended, employees were notified to return to work; however, resuming full production will take several weeks. This situation illustrates the complexities faced by major corporations in crisis management and the impact of labor decisions on financial performance.

Investor Trends Toward Futures Markets

Given all of the above, the market clearly shows uncertainty, as investors have begun to evaluate their positions more comprehensively. As indicators of rising prices and inflationary pressures increase, their hedging or profit-seeking strategies have become more complex. Many investors jumped into the markets driven by optimism after the elections, but now they have to consider how to adapt to the new reality, which requires a more cautious outlook on their investments.

The market is in urgent need of positive signals from upcoming economic data, and if low inflation isn’t confirmed, recovery may take longer than expected. Everyone is keeping an eye on more economic data and monitoring developments on the political front, where both investors and politicians will have to work together to find solutions to ensure market stability and sustainable growth in the future.

Rental Prices Data and Market Analysis

Rental prices have seen a decline of 0.6% in October, as the supply of available apartments on the market surpasses demand. The average asking rent was $1,619, a decrease compared to September, but still represents an increase of 0.2% compared to the same period last year. This data comes at a critical time as the market anticipates the Consumer Price Index report for October, which will be announced the next day. Housing costs have risen significantly, as housing and food costs accounted for 75% of the increase in the Consumer Price Index in September. These phenomena indicate a complex interaction between supply and demand in the rental market, impacting inflation and consumers.

Stock Market Performance and Future Outlook

The stock market appears to be increasingly dynamic, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices negotiating around record levels. The S&P 500 was valued at 22.2 times the earnings estimates for 2025, exceeding the historical averages for twenty-five years. Despite these high valuations, there is a suggestion that the market may continue to rise. Rick Rieder, a spokesperson for Black Rock, stated that he does not like these high ratios but still supports stocks, pointing to sustained demand which suggests a stable investment environment. The growth in investments through 401(k) accounts and factors such as corporate buybacks underpin a positive technical foundation for the market. There is a warning that high estimates may carry risks in case of sudden economic changes, but with continued growth in the U.S. economy, these valuations are likely to rise further in the future.

Market Shift Following Trump’s Victory

Market sentiments shifted significantly with the anticipated victory of Trump in the elections, sparking a wave of recovery in numerous stocks. Mark Rowan, CEO of Apollo Global Management, stated that the market exhibits speculation that the upcoming administration will be more business-friendly. The regulatory tone has improved compared to the past four years, heralding the potential for the financial markets and business companies to evolve positively. Many investors believe these transitions could boost momentum-heavy markets that have been in recovery, reinforcing the idea that government policies play a crucial role in driving the stock market upward.

Performance

Large Companies and Earnings Expectations

Positive expectations were built around the earnings of major companies, as Shopify made a significant jump in its stock after exceeding revenue expectations for the past months. Despite broader market pressures, Shopify’s strong financial results showed that demand for its services is increasing, indicating ongoing strength in the e-commerce sector. At the same time, Home Depot raised its forecasts and performance indicators amid continued strong demand from contractors, signaling high spending despite a decline in overall consumer spending. These phenomena reflect stability across several sectors while indicating signs of recovery in the future, contributing to overall economic growth.

Impacts on the Cryptocurrency Market and Bitcoin’s Growing Popularity

The cryptocurrency market witnessed a price explosion, with Bitcoin approaching $90,000, increasing market enthusiasm. The rise in cryptocurrencies is partially due to optimism surrounding Trump’s potential policies related to digital currencies, indicating investors’ willingness to leverage digital assets as a hedge or investment tools. These movements are accompanied by significant increases in cryptocurrency-related companies, such as Coinbase, highlighting the market’s strength during this period. There is a fear of missing out among investors, leading to a repetition of the FOMO phenomenon, or fear of not buying, which plays a significant role in stimulating investment activity in the market.

Rise in Treasury Yields and Macroeconomic Expectations

Treasury yields continued to rise, increasing tension in the market. The 10-year Treasury yields rose by about 8 basis points, negatively impacting stocks under the pressures of the bond market. This increase in yields is considered a factor influencing investors’ decisions, as high yields may signal inflationary risks or weakness in economic activity. However, if the U.S. economy continues to grow and valuations rise, the market may experience an improvement in overall performance. Many economists expect that new fiscal policy trends under Trump’s administration could be more favorable, potentially having a positive impact on the market as a whole.

Source link: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-today-dow-leads-stocks-down-as-rally-takes-a-break-before-cpi-report-121206480.html?.tsrc=fin-notif

AI was used from ezycontent


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