Amid political transformations and fierce electoral battles, the United States is approaching the presidential election date on November 5. With only one month remaining, it becomes essential to review the key moments that have shaped the campaign, as the American political scene has witnessed fluctuating and dramatic events. From the exclusion of candidates to criminal trials, along with decisive debates, personal and political crises intertwine. In this article, we will highlight the significant turning points that may affect the future of the White House, and take a look at the challenges and opportunities facing the candidates in this crucial round.
The Early Start of the Presidential Race
The American presidential race began in January 2024, characterized by a limited competition atmosphere, especially among the major names. Current President Joe Biden faced no real challenge from within the Democratic Party, and it seems he crafted his campaign slogan without any strong opposition confronting him. At the same time, his position strengthened despite the opposing movement regarding his support for Israel in the ongoing conflict in Gaza, raising questions about his ability to win the approval of all voter segments. On the Republican side, the situation was not entirely different, as Nikki Haley emerged as a reasonable alternative to Donald Trump, but her diminishing success in gaining grassroots support allowed Trump to continue to dominate in accumulating votes, leaving the overall picture of the race somewhat static.
During this period, additional tensions emerged within each party. In one of his many events, Biden attempted to showcase his strength, but criticisms regarding popular support and defense of Israel cast shadows over his effectiveness in the eyes of voters. Meanwhile, Trump, despite ongoing criticisms and scandals surrounding his legal issues, managed to maintain strong backing from his grassroots supporters, which fueled party divisions in the elections. Overall, January marked a continuous beginning of tension and resilience for potential candidates.
The Impact of Criminal Trials on Trump’s Election
In April 2024, Donald Trump’s first criminal trial began in New York, where he was accused of secretly paying money to a porn film star during his 2016 campaign. This trial was the first of its kind for a former U.S. president and garnered significant media and public attention. Nevertheless, the reactions from Trump’s base proved unaffected by this unprecedented ruling. In fact, a narrative among his supporters emerged denouncing the politicization of the judiciary, which bolstered his position among his supporters, who viewed the trial as a political attack more than a legal justice issue.
As time progressed, the Supreme Court eased cases related to Trump, as if the legal events contributed to additional support for him. Consequently, Trump became a figure shrouded in ambiguity and confrontation, with his cases greatly influencing public opinion. For their part, the Democrats termed Trump a “criminal” and hoped his trial would diminish his popularity, but the reality was entirely the opposite. This type of legal campaigning provided a foundation for a complex electoral backdrop, where law and politics intertwined in an unprecedented way.
The Debates and Their Impact on the Electoral Scene
The election campaign witnessed a major development on June 27 when the first debate between Trump and Biden took place. This debate marked a significant turning point in the competition. Biden stumbled in several segments of the discussion, opening the door to concern and fear within the Democratic camp regarding their future in the elections. A state of panic prevailed among the Democrats, and Biden’s poor performance fueled calls for him to withdraw from the race. Indeed, this was a critical moment in reevaluating campaign strategies. While Trump exercised restraint, the impact of this debate was akin to market fluctuations; it was unclear what would ultimately happen.
The escalation
In the division over Biden’s performance, unexpected moves were opened up. Trump sought to exploit his opponent’s weaknesses in subsequent campaigns, while voices within the Democratic Party calling for leadership renewal were amplified. Analysts acknowledged that debates had become crucial and could not be ignored, as they send a strong message to voters about leadership ability and political performance. Overall, the negative outcomes from debates expressed the significant level of influence that this event could exert on the course of electoral campaigns.
Notable Transformations in Democratic Party Nominations
The electoral campaign reached a new stage on July 21 when Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the race, opting to lend his support to his vice president Kamala Harris. This decision came after prolonged speculation about his physical and mental capabilities. It seems that Biden realized that his chances of winning had diminished, thus he accepted the pressures and acknowledged his limitations. This move was bold but sparked considerable controversy about the future of the party.
Harris, following Biden’s withdrawal, received tremendous support from major Democratic figures, making her remarkably qualified to be the party’s nominee. Democratic enthusiasm returned thanks to the entry of a young figure with diverse roots, which changed the shape of the race and reshuffled the cards. With Tim Walz appointed as the vice-presidential nominee, the upcoming campaign took on a completely different face, appearing well-suited to challenge Trump. In this context, it can be said that this period was an inevitable result of the pressures and mounting aspirations for victory, which significantly reflected the party’s ability to adapt to changing realities.
The Decisive Debate Between Trump and Harris
On September 10, the first and final debate between Trump and Kamala Harris was announced. Observers generally agreed that Harris was able to deliver a performance that weakened her opponent, as she exploited weaknesses related to Trump’s reputation and his strengths. Meanwhile, Trump used his traditional attacks, criticizing Harris for having “Marxist” inclinations, which did not rise to the level of the necessary discussion. The debate was one of the most-watched events in modern American history, with estimates ranging around 67 million viewers.
After the debate concluded, Trump chose to maintain an aggressive stance against the media, believing that their advice was biased against him. Despite the intensity that dominated the debate, its impact on the campaign results remained unclear. Polls appeared to indicate very close results, reflecting a balance of power in preparation for the election. This effectively created a persistent atmosphere of tension throughout the campaign, as voters notably remained spectators, awaiting the event that would determine the trajectory of their future.
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