Summary of the episode: With the Assistant Minister of Finance for Macroeconomic Policies and International Relations | Socrates Podcast

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is witnessing significant economic transformations in line with Vision 2030, with changes impacting various aspects of the economy. Developing the industrial sector is one of the most prominent axes of these transformations, viewed as a key to achieving economic diversification. This episode discusses with Mr. Abdulaziz Al-Rasheed, Assistant Minister of Finance for Macro Financial Policies and International Relations, many issues related to the economic transformation in Saudi Arabia, including the challenges the country faced in its previous economic model and how to leverage current reforms to stimulate growth.

The key concepts raised include the importance of investment in industry, developing international relations, and achieving financial sustainability. The discussion also emphasizes the importance of enhancing government performance efficiency and the necessity of empowering the private sector to be a cornerstone of the economy, moving away from excessive reliance on oil revenues. Additionally, the guest reviews how government programs, such as the Fiscal Balance Program, have contributed to supporting economic objectives.

Several questions are raised about how financial policies impact the macro economy and how to measure the success of these policies in achieving sustainability and growth. Through this conversation, the door is opened for a deeper understanding of the vital role played by the Ministry of Finance in steering the Saudi economy towards a better future, despite the challenges it may face at various stages.

Developing the Industrial Sector in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Industry is considered one of the main pillars in the Kingdom’s Vision 2030, as Saudi Arabia aims to develop its industrial sector comprehensively. This development requires significant investments in local manufacturing, stimulating innovation, and increasing competitiveness in global markets. In the context of economic transformation, emphasis has been placed on the necessity of diversifying income sources and reducing dependency on oil as a primary source of revenue. It is essential for Saudi industries to have the capacity to produce high-value-added goods, which will contribute to enhancing the national economy. Additionally, investing in industrial infrastructure and developing supportive laws and regulations is crucial for encouraging local and international investors. In this regard, efforts are underway to establish specialized industrial zones and provide financial incentives and facilities to attract investments. This shift in industrial thinking is considered a strategic step towards achieving self-sufficiency and increasing export capacity.

Transformations in Financial and Economic Policy

Since the inception of Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia has experienced radical transformations in its financial and economic policies. The Ministry of Finance has been restructured to be more flexible and responsive to rapid economic changes. The ministry’s administrative units are now directly dealing with economic challenges and working on developing financial strategies that help achieve sustainable economic growth. Through the Fiscal Balance Program, efforts have been made to separate government spending from oil revenues, which has helped achieve greater financial sustainability. This separation enables the government to plan for the long term without relying on fluctuating oil prices. Partnerships with the private sector have also been strengthened, facilitating the attraction of foreign and domestic investments and enhancing the economy’s ability to grow. It is also important to focus on developing financial and economic measurement tools, which facilitates performance evaluation and aids in making appropriate decisions.

Economic Challenges and How to Address Them

Saudi Arabia faces a range of economic challenges, including reliance on oil, increasing population, and youth unemployment. To achieve the necessary reforms, these challenges need to be addressed innovatively. For instance, creating genuine economic diversification requires investments in new sectors such as technology and renewable energy. Additionally, advanced training and education programs must be provided to prepare young people to enter the workforce. It is also essential to enhance the partnership between the public and private sectors, which creates new job opportunities and increases productivity. The challenges are not only local but also global, especially with climate change and international economic policies. Therefore, the Kingdom should adopt flexible strategies that respond to global changes, facilitating sustainable development.

Sustainability

Public Finance and Its Impact on the Economy

Sustainability of public finance is one of the key objectives that the government aims to achieve. Through the financial sustainability program, the focus is on improving revenue and expenditure management, and ensuring that a chronic budget deficit does not occur. This requires the presence of strict fiscal policies, in addition to developing mechanisms for monitoring financial performance. Structural revenues must be independent of fluctuations in oil prices, which facilitates long-term planning. In this context, spending efficiency is one of the most important factors that affect the sustainability of public finance. This requires reassessing social support programs and ensuring that they target the deserving segment. Tax collection effectiveness should also be improved, and the taxpayer base expanded, contributing to an increase in public revenues. Enhancing the sustainability of public finance is not only necessary to achieve economic goals, but also to ensure community stability and improve the standard of living.

Evaluating the Success of Reforms and Future Trends

Evaluating the success of economic reforms requires ongoing efforts and precise monitoring of results. Success is not measured solely by numbers, but also by the impact of these reforms on citizens’ lives. The government is moving towards achieving the goals of Vision 2030, which include improving quality of life, increasing job opportunities, and enhancing environmental sustainability. In the coming years, the pace of economic reforms is expected to accelerate, with a focus on innovation and technology. There should also be flexibility in government policies, enabling it to adapt to rapid changes in global economic conditions. Achieving the vision requires broad community participation, including the private sector and citizens, to ensure the desired goals are met and to build a prosperous future.

Public Financial Reforms and Their Role in Improving the Economy

Public financial reforms are one of the fundamental elements that contribute to enhancing the national economy, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has recently witnessed many significant steps in this area. These reforms began by emphasizing the importance of reducing subsidies for essential goods such as electricity and water, aiming to liberalize prices and let them be determined by market forces. This is not only to improve economic efficiency but also to protect the most needy segments from the negative effects of these reforms. As prices rise, there is a need for a social safety net to ensure that low-income families can access basic services without a significant impact on their budgets.

It is clear that the strategy involves a balance between preserving public interests and achieving economic efficiency. When subsidies are reduced and prices are liberated, it may increase the burdens on vulnerable segments; therefore, the government is obliged to implement targeted support mechanisms that ensure providing social protection. For example, direct financial assistance can be provided to low-income families, ensuring these segments can cope with any price increases.

Additionally, cooperation between government institutions and relevant ministries, such as the Ministry of Finance, is vital to ensuring the success of these reforms. There should be clear mechanisms for communication and continuous evaluation of economic performance so that the government can adjust policies as needed. This cooperation and continuous evaluation will help avoid past mistakes that led to the deterioration of economic conditions in some countries that lost their financial efficiency.

Protecting Vulnerable Segments from the Effects of Reforms

Social protection is an integral part of any economic reform plan, allowing governments to address negative impacts resulting from price increases due to subsidy reforms. In the case of the Kingdom, the focus has been on developing a social safety net to ensure that support reaches the most needy segments. This network can include a range of social programs, such as cash assistance, food support, and health insurance.

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For example, the government can assess household income and identify families in need of additional support. Based on this, direct financial assistance can be provided to low-income families, helping them cope with the burdens resulting from rising prices. In this way, the government ensures that low-income families are not negatively affected by financial reforms aimed at improving economic efficiency.

Furthermore, focusing on training and awareness programs can play an important role in empowering vulnerable groups. In addition to providing financial support, there should be efforts to rehabilitate these families and empower them economically, such as providing vocational training opportunities, which can contribute to increasing income levels and improving the economic situation of the families involved. Through these methods, the government works to achieve a balance between economic reforms and protecting the basic rights of vulnerable groups in society.

Monitoring Real Estate Lending and its Implications

Monitoring real estate lending activities holds special importance in any economy, especially in light of the significant growth in this sector. The International Monetary Fund has indicated in its reports the necessity of closely monitoring these activities, due to the risks associated with repeating financial crises such as the mortgage crisis in the United States in 2008. Real estate lending constitutes a significant part of the financial sector, and thus any failure in it can lead to substantial repercussions for the overall economy.

It is important for the Kingdom to adopt strict standards to ensure the sustainability of real estate lending and to avoid any housing bubble. The Saudi Central Bank, through its supervision, works to establish rules and procedures governing lending, ensuring that financial institutions do not exceed permissible limits. For instance, these rules may include limiting the loan-to-value ratio, ensuring that risks are appropriately distributed and reducing the likelihood of future crises.

Additionally, transparency in lending reports and market data can help enhance trust among market participants. When information is available to all, investors and lenders have a better understanding of the risks associated with real estate lending, which helps them make informed decisions. Therefore, it is essential for the government and regulatory authorities to continue promoting transparency and monitoring mechanisms to ensure the sustainability of the real estate sector and protect it from potential risks.

Cooperation with the International Monetary Fund: Misconceptions and the Reality of the Situation

There are many misconceptions about the International Monetary Fund and its role in developing countries. Some believe that the Fund represents a tool of Western dominance over the economies of these countries, but the reality shows that the Fund seeks to support public financial stability and assist countries facing economic challenges. The Fund provides technical advice and structural reforms aimed at improving economic performance.

When countries turn to the International Monetary Fund, it is typically after they reach a critical stage of economic deficit. The Fund’s consultation includes assessing the financial and economic situation and providing recommendations based on global best practices. It must be understood that there is no one-size-fits-all “prescription,” but recommendations are tailored to the specific circumstances of each country.

For instance, some countries may partially implement the Fund’s recommendations, leading to unsatisfactory results. In contrast, other countries, such as Malaysia, have managed to surpass the Fund’s recommendations and achieve rapid economic recovery. This demonstrates that the effective implementation of recommendations is what determines the success of reform programs, not merely the acceptance of the recommendations by governments.

Thus, it is important for countries to understand how to cooperate with the Fund correctly and adopt policies that contribute to achieving sustainable financial balances. Through this thoughtful cooperation, countries can restore their economic stability and enhance their global competitiveness.

Challenges

Future and Economic Hopes

As economic reform efforts advance in the kingdom, a set of challenges and hopes emerge that need to be meticulously planned for. Structural reforms are considered a crucial part of achieving economic objectives, and they are expected to play a central role in diversifying the Saudi economy and reducing dependence on oil. This requires investments in new sectors such as industry, services, and technology.

On the other hand, there must be clear strategies to ensure financial sustainability in light of changing circumstances. Although public debt remains within acceptable limits compared to other countries, it requires prudent management to ensure that financial burdens do not escalate for future generations. Developing the industrial sector is one of the top priorities, as it represents an opportunity to enhance domestic output and create jobs.

These efforts must also be accompanied by training and education programs aimed at raising the level of human competencies, contributing to sustainable development. This can be achieved through investments in education and vocational training to ensure that young people are equipped with the necessary skills to compete in the changing job market.

In addition to all this, the government should continue to communicate with citizens and engage them in these reforms. The community’s rallying around economic goals contributes to achieving more effective positive outcomes. Working to enhance societal awareness about the importance of economic reforms can significantly support government efforts and strengthen trust between the government and citizens.

The episode was summarized using artificial intelligence ezycontent

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